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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
2:23
2:37 in
SIT
v6 hybrid
Blown dog. BTC -9.2 bp · Up 83¢ / Down 18¢. Sitting ≤22¢ vs ≥78¢.
BTC vs open
69,625.75 -9.2 bps
open 69,690.20 · coinbase
p(Up) / p(Down)
38% / 62%
Lean / momentum
Down · flat
Last action
SIT · Down ask 58¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -9.0 bp · Up 43¢ / Down 58¢
Upask 83¢p 38%edge -45¢
Downask 18¢p 62%edge +44¢
tape live
Up
ask 83¢ · p 38% · γ 51¢
Asks
- 83¢38.4
- 84¢153.3
- 85¢237.3
- 86¢179.2
- 87¢161.8
- 88¢938.8
Bids
- 82¢38.0
- 81¢386.0
- 80¢134.3
- 79¢214.3
- 78¢363.2
- 77¢382.8
Down
ask 18¢ · p 62% · γ 50¢
Asks
- 18¢33.0
- 19¢160.0
- 20¢134.3
- 21¢214.3
- 22¢363.2
- 23¢304.8
Bids
- 17¢33.4
- 16¢153.3
- 15¢237.3
- 14¢179.2
- 13¢161.8
- 12¢938.8
Tape
Connected- SITDown ask 58¢ is above 55¢. Not a gift. BTC -9.0 bp · Up 43¢ / Down 58¢
- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 23¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 78¢ / Down 23¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
- SITHYBRID · Hybrid sitting. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. No early / jump / lag / confirm.
- SITORACLE · Oracle sees Down but 24¢ is not a cheap winner. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢
- SITGENESIS · No high-conviction print. BTC -2.9 bp · Up 77¢ / Down 24¢. Waiting for a monster or a clean 30–50¢.
- FAK rejected · ipCLOB rejected v2 FAK (403/ip): {"error":"Trading restricted in your region, please refer to available regions - https://docs.polymarket.com/developers/CLOB/geoblock"}